Research

Research objectives and Framework

The fundamental objective of my research is to contribute to better-informed decision-making and thereby make better decisions for individuals and organizations. I pursue this research objective with three pillars: empirical studies, developing methods, and application

The concept of Value-focused Thinking (Keeney 1992) provides the basis for my research efforts. It features a change in paradigm in mastering decision situations. Most individuals and organizations can be characterized as reactive in their decision-making. Decision situations are seen as decision problems, which are to be solved. Often, with little effort, the most obvious alternatives or alternatives that have been proven in similar decision situations are identified. Most of the effort is spent in evaluating these alternatives. In contrast, Keeney suggests spending more effort identifying attractive alternatives since only available alternatives can later be chosen as the best. Individuals or organizations should identify their values, i.e., what they care about, and translate their values into objectives. These objectives should be used for identifying more and better alternatives systematically. Instead of solving decision problems, decisions have to be seen as opportunities, which should be proactively developed

Selected Research Projects

    Selected publications

    Research-oriented

    Siebert, Johannes U.; Kunz, Reinhard, Rolf, Philipp. “Effects of decision training on individuals’ decision-making proactivity”, in press European Journal of Operational Research, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2021.01.010

    Siebert, Johannes U.; Brandenburg, Markus; Siebert, Jana. “Defining and aligning supply chain objectives before, during and after the COVID-19 pandemic”, in IEEE Engineering Management Review, 48(4), 72-85, doi: 10.1109/EMR.2020.3032369

    Siebert, Johannes U.; Kunz, Reinhard, Rolf, Philipp. “Effects of Proactive Decision Making on Life Satisfaction”, European Journal of Operational Research, 280(1) 2020, 1171-1187,  doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2019.08.0111)

    Siebert, Johannes U.; von Winterfeldt, Detlof. „Comparative Analysis of Terrorists’ Objectives Hierarchies“, Decision Analysis (INFORMS) June 2020, 17(2), 97-114, https://doi.org/10.1287/deca.2019.0400

    Siebert, Johannes U.; Kunz, Reinhard. “Developing and Validating the Multidimensional Proactive Decision-Making Scale”. Special Issue „Behavioral Operations Research“ in European Journal of Operational Research, 249(3) 2016, 864-877.dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2015.06.066

    Siebert, Johannes U.; von Winterfeldt, Detlof; John, Richard. “Identifying and Structuring the Objectives of the “Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant” (ISIL) and its Followers.” Decision Analysis (INFORMS), 2016, 13(1), 26-50, dx.doi.org/10.1287/deca.2015.0324

    Siebert, Johannes U. “Can Novices Create Alternatives of the Same Quality as Experts?”, Decision Analysis (INFORMS) 2016, 13(4), 278-291, https://doi.org/10.1287/deca.2016.0339

    Siebert, Johannes U.; Keeney, Ralph L. “Creating More and Better Alternatives for Decisions Using Objectives”. Operations Research, September/October 2015, 63(5), 1144-1158. dx.doi.org/10.1287/opre.2015.1411

    Kunz, Reinhard; Siebert, Johannes U.; Mütterlein. “Combining Value-Focused Thinking and Balanced Scorecard to Improve Decision-Making in Strategic Management”, Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis, September-December, 2016, 225-241DOI: 10.1002/mcda.1572

    Kunz, Reinhard; Siebert, Johannes U.; Mütterlein, Joschka. „A Media-Specific Balanced Scorecard Based on Value-Focused Thinking“, Journal of Media Business Studies, 13(4), 2016, 257-275. http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/16522354.2016.1220114

    Schlüchtermann, Jörg; Siebert, Johannes U. “Industrie 4.0 und Controlling: Erste Konturen zeichnen sich ab“. Schwerpunktheft „Controlling & Industrie 4.0“ der Controlling: Zeitschrift für erfolgsorientierte Unternehmenssteuerung, August/September 2015, 461-465. DOI:  10.15358/0935-0381-2015-8-9-461

    Practice-oriented

    Siebert, Johannes U.; Keeney, Ralph. „Entscheidungen: Probleme oder Chancen? Wie Sie proaktiv unangenehme Entscheidungssituationen vermeiden können”, Wissenschaftliche Beiträge, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliches Studium, June 2020, 49 (6), 4-9. doi.org/10.15358/0340-1650-2020-6

    Siebert, Johannes U.; Keeney, Ralph. Decisions: Problems or Opportunities? How you can prevent unpleasant decision situations”, Scientific Contributions, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliches Studium, June 2020, 49(6), 1-6, doi.org/10.15358/0340-1650-2020-6-E4

    Siebert, Johannes U.; Rüdiger von Nitzsch. “Das Jobauswahlproblem für Berufseinsteiger: Eine entscheidungstheoretische Anwendung – Teil 1: Problemstrukturierung in Ziele, Alternativen und Unsicherheiten“, DOI: 10.15358/0340-1650-2018-8, Wissenschaftliche Beiträge, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliches Studium, October 2018

    Rüdiger von Nitzsch; Siebert, Johannes U. „Das Jobauswahlproblem für Berufseinsteiger: Eine entscheidungstheoretische Anwendung – Teil 2: Ermittlung der besten Alternative mit dem ENTSCHEIDUNGSNAVI“, DOI: 10.15358/0340-1650-2018-8, Wissenschaftliche Beiträge, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliches Studium, November 2018

    Schlüchtermann, Jörg; Siebert, Johannes U. “Industrie 4.0 und Controlling: Erste Konturen zeichnen sich ab“. Schwerpunktheft „Controlling & Industrie 4.0“ der Controlling: Zeitschrift für erfolgsorientierte Unternehmenssteuerung, August/September 2015, 461-465. DOI:  10.15358/0935-0381-2015-8-9-461