{"id":2099,"date":"2026-03-05T18:28:12","date_gmt":"2026-03-05T18:28:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johannessiebert.com\/?p=2099"},"modified":"2026-03-18T13:59:40","modified_gmt":"2026-03-18T13:59:40","slug":"fuenfzig-jahre-entscheidungsanalyse-operational-research","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johannessiebert.com\/?p=2099","title":{"rendered":"F\u00fcnfzig Jahre Entscheidungsanalyse in der Operational Research: Ein \u00dcberblick"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Wir geben einen \u00dcberblick \u00fcber die Entwicklung der Forschung zur Entscheidungsanalyse (DA) in den vergangenen f\u00fcnfzig Jahren. Nach der Darstellung der axiomatischen Grundlagen und einer Diskussion des DA-Prozesses beginnen wir mit dem wertorientierten Denken als Methode zur Problemstrukturierung. Anschlie\u00dfend analysieren wir die Modellbildungsphase mit Fokus auf grafische Modelle f\u00fcr Entscheidungen unter Unsicherheit, darunter Bayes\u2019sche Netzwerke, Entscheidungsb\u00e4ume und Einflussdiagramme. Danach wird untersucht, wie die DA-Forschung mit Unsicherheit umgeht, insbesondere in den Bereichen Erhebung, Aggregation und Bewertung. Es folgt eine Er\u00f6rterung der Sensitivit\u00e4tsanalyse, die lokale und globale Techniken beschreibt \u2013 von der Einweg-Sensitivit\u00e4tsanalyse bis zum Informationswert. Abschlie\u00dfend wird die Literatur zum Thema Informationsgewinnung betrachtet und die Rolle des Informationswerts in diesem Zusammenhang diskutiert.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Borgonovo, Emanuele; Jos\u00e9, Victor, R. R, Shachter, Ross; Siebert, Johannes U; Ulu, Canan. \u201cFifty Years of Decision Analysis in Operational Research: A Review\u201d (<em>Invited Review on occasion of the celebration of the 50<sup>th<\/sup> Anniversary of EURO (the European association of Operational Research Societies),<\/em> <em>European Journal of Operational Research<\/em>) <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.ejor.2025.05.023\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.ejor.2025.05.023<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Wir geben einen \u00dcberblick \u00fcber die Entwicklung der Forschung zur Entscheidungsanalyse (DA) in den vergangenen f\u00fcnfzig Jahren. Nach der Darstellung der axiomatischen Grundlagen und einer Diskussion des DA-Prozesses beginnen wir mit dem wertorientierten Denken als Methode zur Problemstrukturierung. Anschlie\u00dfend analysieren wir die Modellbildungsphase mit Fokus auf grafische Modelle f\u00fcr Entscheidungen unter Unsicherheit, darunter Bayes\u2019sche Netzwerke, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1018,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[42,91],"tags":[351,349,150,347,343,353,345],"class_list":["post-2099","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blog","category-veroeffentlichungen-forschung","tag-bayessche-netzwerke","tag-einflussdiagramme","tag-entscheidungsanalyse","tag-entscheidungsbaume","tag-operational-research","tag-unsicherheitsanalyse","tag-wertorientiertes-denken"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>F\u00fcnfzig Jahre Entscheidungsanalyse in der Operational Research: Ein \u00dcberblick - 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